未来五年CMOS图象传感器成长动力将来自新兴应用

市场研究机构IC Insights预测，2011年CMOS图象传感器销售额将取得13%的成长，达到51亿美元规模，超越前一次成长高峰期2008年的46亿美元；该机构估计，CMOS图象传感器市场将在2011~2015年之间，以11.2%的复合年平均成长率(CAGR)持续扩张版图，并在2015年达到76亿美元营收规模。

到2015年，CMOS图象传感器将占据整体图象传感器市场的66%；该比例在2010年约为58%。至于CCD图象传感器，目前仍是消费性数码相机、摄影机、扫描仪与复印机等产品的主流应用方案，其市占率在2010年为42%，但该比例将在2015年缩水到34%。

CMOS图象传感器市场在2009年遭遇衰退之后，2010年销售额复苏，成长17%、达到45亿美元；但与该年度整体半导体产业成长率达32%的景况相较，该表现仅差强人意。照相手机应用在2010年贡献整体CMOS图象传感器62%的销售额，预测该比例将在2015年减至49%。

而IC Insights也表示，虽然图象传感器市场已有一些整并案发生，目前全球仍有超过35家的供应商继续积极争取CMOS图象传感器设计案，其中仍以照相手机、消费性数码相机，以及便携式电脑与平板电脑的嵌入式网络摄影机(webcam)为大宗。

此外，IDM厂商的CMOS图象传感器制造产能，已经由8英寸晶圆工艺转向12英寸晶圆工艺，这将使CMOS图象传感器出货量更大，也为市场带来更大的价格压力。除了有更多产能即将上线，半导体工艺微缩至65纳米、传感器元件规格超越1,600万像素等现况，意味着市场需要新的大量应用，才能在接下来五年维持两位数字成长。

IC Insights表示，预测2011~2015年CMOS图象传感器市场可取得11.2%的CAGR，成长动力是来自于汽车安全系统、保全监控网络应用的智能视频摄影机、医疗成像设备、玩具、游戏机，以及其他新兴应用。

点击参考原文：CMOS image sensor market set for steady growth

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CMOS image sensor market set for steady growth

Peter Clarke

Beginning in 2011 CMOS image sensor sales are expected to gain momentum and consistency with 13 percent growth in 2011 to a new record high of $5.1 billion, topping the previous peak of $4.6 billion set in 2008, according to market research company IC Insights.

Over the period 2011 to 2015 CMOS image sensor revenues are forecast to increase at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.2 percent and reaching $7.6 billion in 2015. By then CMOS imaging devices are expected to account for 66 percent of the total image sensor market in 2015, compared to about 58 percent in 2010.

Charge-coupled devices (CCDs), which still dominate consumer digital camera applications, video camcorders, scanners, and copiers, account for most of the remaining sales: 42 percent in 2010 and a projected 34 percent in 2015.

After dropping by 16 percent in 2009, CMOS image sensor sales rebounded by 17 percent in 2010 to $4.5 billion, but this was relatively poor compared to the overall semiconductor industry's growth of 32 percent last year. Camera phones accounted for 62 percent of CMOS image sensor sales in 2010 and are forecast to drop to about 49 percent in 2015.

While there has been some consolidation in the image sensor segment, more than 35 suppliers worldwide continue to pursue CMOS imager design wins, with most still concentrating on camera phones, consumer cameras, and embedded webcams for portable PCs and tablet computers. Furthermore, CMOS image sensor production capacity at IDMs and foundries has been moving from 200-mm to 300-mm diameter wafers, driving up unit volumes and adding more pricing pressure to the marketplace.

With more production capacity coming online, minimum feature sizes reaching 65-nm, and resolutions pushing beyond 16 megapixels on devices, CMOS image sensor suppliers will need new high-volume applications to sustain double-digit annual growth rates in the next five years. IC Insights' forecast of 11.2 percent CAGR for sales in the 2010 to 2015 period is predicated on growth in automotive safety systems, intelligent video cameras for surveillance networks, medical imaging, toys and games, and other emerging applications.